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To start with, in areas like paging and cellular services,
entrants are limited by the need to allocate frequencies from a limited
frequency spectrum. This gives them an oligopolistic position which can
yield rents. Second, since provision of basic services requires provision
of the "right of way" to build the network crossing public property and
using public assets (like telephone poles, say), excessive entry can lead
to "congestion" with adverse social consequences. Here again those private
operators permitted to enter become eligible for rents. Third, even though
in liberalising mode, the government cannot allow unfettered entry into an
area which inevitably involves large sunk costs in infrastructure. In the
rush for occupying the market, the industry could get saddled with huge
excess capacities leading to waste. Thus, though private entry was to be
allowed, originally only two operators were to be permitted entry in each
circle. Finally, since the idea of opening up the sector is not just to
encourage the entry of private operators but also to expand the network,
private sector entrants would have to be allowed to interconnect with the
existing public utility network. Given the "externality" associated with a
telecom network, which makes the utility of a network a function of its
size, the private operator derives substantial "unpriced" benefits from
interconnectivity.
It is the existence of rents in all these forms that justifies
the levy of a licence fee on private entrants. The question remains,
however, as to how this levy should be computed. The problem is that all
the benefits derived by private operators are not from "goods" that have
markets. Hence the market itself cannot compute these gains on the basis
of prices it generates. It is essential that the government or any of its
regulatory arms should, on the basis of a detailed investigation,
normatively impute a cost to the benefits being handed over to private
operators. Rather than resort to such a procedure, and in keeping with its
belief in liberalisation and the benefits of the market mechanism, the
government decided to let private operators themselves 'price' these gains
by bidding for the licences on offer in the different telecom circles.
The result of that auctioning procedure is now history.
Private operators, driven by the liberalisation fever into speculation,
based on over-optimistic projections of market potential and counting on
unusually low costs of operation, made bids that were irrational both in
terms of the number of circles which were sought by individual operators
and the size of the bid in monetary terms. Once the bids were opened and
licences offered to the highest bidder, three consequences followed. Some
potential operators (like Himmachal Futuristic) withdrew their offers in
many of the less promising circles, delaying the process of identifying
the potential operators. Yet others bidders were soon convinced of their
folly by their inability to obtain support from financiers for their
proposals. And finally, of those who went ahead with their projects, quite
a few found themselves unable to meet the commitments they had made
themselves. Tables 1 and 2 provide the licence fee commitments made by
those operators who remained in the fray after the initial withdrawals and
Tables 3 and 4 provide the amounts which remained due as on
31 March 1999.
Table 1 >>
Table 2 >>
Table 3 >>
Table 4 >>
In such a situation, there are two approaches which can be
adopted. Within the logic of the liberalisation ethos, it could be argued
that the state should maintain its distance and make the investor pay the
price for foolhardiness. Bankruptcy and closure would follow. The bidding
process can operate again, and the new winners may be the same groups or
others who may buy up the infrastructure created by the original players.
The second approach would be one which recognises that the premise on
which much of liberalisation works - that markets are efficient - was and
is wrong. This would require a transition out of the current licence fee
regime to one which allows operators to remain viable. This was what the
government had decided to do, through a scheme involving a revenue sharing
agreement between DoT and the private operators, rather than a fixed
licence fee.
There were still two problems here, however. First, there was
no reason why those cellular operators whose irrational bidding generated
the mess, should be the natural beneficiaries of this transition.
Especially because their irrational bidding may have kept out of the
industry players who had greater capabilities in the telecom area and a
more sober assessment of market conditions. Second, writing off past dues
would amount to subsidising the speculative bidders rather than penalising
them.
Mr. Jagmohan, in his brief tenure as Communications Minister,
was clear on both these counts. He backed a scheme involving a one time
entry fee and a revenue sharing agreement, to implement which there would
be a new round of bidding in which existing operators could participate.
The idea was that, if the existing operator lost out in that bidding
process, he would be bought out by the winner at a price arrived at by an
independent valuer. But the transition to that scheme was to be
prospective. Meanwhile, companies had to pay up a minimum of 20 per cent
of their outstanding dues and securitise the remaining part. Some
operators agreed and obliged. Others like Koshika amd JT Mobile held out,
leading to a cancellation of their licences and a termination of the
connection to the DoT network. When the action was challenged in court,
the judges backed the Communications Minister.
Yet, when the government finally decided to make the
transition, it chose to sacrifice its Communications Minister, who was
moved out of his job, and let the operators get away without paying for
their folly. They were required to pay a sum equal to their dues on fees
on existing licences as on 31 July 1999 as an entry fee into the revenue
sharing regime. They were also expected to subsequently pay a revenue
share (tentatively fixed at 15 per cent) to the government. The actual
estimation of a reasonable licence fee was left to be computed by the TRAI
at a later date. This surrender to the private operators was the first
blow to the credibility of the government's regulatory framework.
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