Because India has a federal system of government
- and indeed, because the very survival of our polity probably requires
a more open and pronounced acceptance of such federalism - it is important
that this also be reflected in economic decision making. Indeed, the
Constitution of India recognises this, which is why there is a such
a detailed listing of the powers and responsibilities of the Central
and State governments respectively, with separate and concurrent lists.
But this in turn creates further areas of decision,
because of the issue of revenue sharing between Centre and States which
must necessarily evolve as the economic context itself changes. This
is why there are periodic Finance Commissions which are empowered to
suggest guidelines for such revenue sharing.
The Eleventh Finance Commission, which submitted
its report recently, was widely expected to increase the devolution
of Central revenues to the State governments. This is not only because
the impetus to economic decentralisation at various levels has become
increasingly significant, but because the need for such devolution has
become even more obvious and urgent in the recent past.
Most starkly, there is a glaring gap between
the responsibilities of State governments, especially in providing physical
and social infrastructure, and their own revenue mobilisation capacity.
This is not simply a matter of being unfair to State governments : it
is, more crucially, a major factor in determining the provision of such
infrastructure and a range of public goods to the citizenry at large.
When the States do not find the resources to undertake much needed infrastructure
investment, or expenditure on health and education, or even the provision
of public goods and basic needs, it not only affects current welfare
but also the possibility of future development.
This is why the Report of the Eleventh Finance
Commission (EFC) was awaited with such anticipation, since it comes
in a context in which the need for a major reorganisation of the structure
of maccal devolution is apparent. In addition, the Constitutional (Eightieth
Amendment) Act passed in March 2000 changed the earlier terms of devolution,
requiring all Central taxes and duties (except surcharges and
certain sales taxes) to be shared between Centre and States.
Finance Commissions in the past have typically
made recommendations on the distribution of net proceeds of taxes between
Centre and States and the allocation of this shared amount between States.
However, the terms of reference of the EFC extended far beyond that,
to cover almost all aspects of maccal strategy, in what appears to be
an astonishingly large brief.
Thus, the EFC was asked, among other things,
to "review the state of the finances of the Union and the States and
suggest ways and means by which the governments, collectively and severally,
may bring about a restructuring of the public finances so as to restore
budgetary balance and maintain macroeconomic stability." It was also
asked to "make an assessment of the debt position of the States ...
and suggest such corrective measures as are deemed necessary, keeping
in view the long term sustainability for both the Centre and the States."
These are major issues, on which there need
not be only one "technocratic" opinion. Thus, the idea that there can
be an "independent" Commission which can pronounce on matters of maccal
strategy which have major redistributive implications and are therefore
reflections of certain political and social configurations, is itself
problematic.
However, the EFC has indeed addressed these
issues, informed by what is essentially a monetarist perspective on
macroeconomics, in which budget deficits are inflationary and government
borrowing crowds out private investment. Some of the problems it identifies
are extremely valid - such as the decline in the tax-GDP ratio over
the 1980s and 1990s and the virtual stagnation in non-tax revenues.
However, in terms of the expenditure, certain items which have contributed
to the deteriorating maccal situation are taken for granted as inevitable,
while others are questioned.
Thus, the EFC identifies three reasons for
unsustainable expenditure expansion : periodic upward revision of government
wage bills because of "Pay Commissions"; increasing interest burden
because of greater reliance on market borrowings by government; and
growing explicit and implicit subsidies. It is interesting that the
EFC questions - and even attacks - only the first and third factors,
condemning them as populist and unnecessary, while accepting the inevitability
of the second.
But in fact, the financial liberalisation measures
which have led to the Government reducing its access to cheaper borrowing
from the Reserve Bank of India and relying more on expensive market
borrowing, were by no means inevitable. Rather, they have reflected
the interests of rentier groups in the economy, who have benefited at
the expense of both taxpayers and all those who have suffered the effects
of cuts in other government expenditure. It is important to remember
that this has been a political choice, not the outcome of some
implacable economic law.