|
Engineering
Stagflation |
| Jul
8th 2008, C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
|
| By
opting to hike petrol, diesel and LPG prices the government
has transferred a significant share of the burden of
increased international oil prices onto the domestic
consumer. The government cannot reduce expenditure in
an election year, so inflation will rise further. Unfortunately
the government has chosen to ignore the most reasonable
policy option of putting a curb on aggregate consumption
and the use of rationing to allocate the targeted volume. |
|
| A
Note on Fiscal Devolution and the Centrally Sponsored
Schemes |
| May
26th
2008, Jayati Ghosh |
|
| A
constraint on the ability of the state governments to
raise revenues in turn limits their capacity to fulfil
even their constitutional responsibilities towards their
citizens. The pattern of fiscal devolution from Centre
to States is of the utmost significance from this perspective.
This system however, under the respective Finance Commissions,
has actually increased the centralisation of government
finances over time. |
|
| The
State of Fiscal Devolution |
| Apr
23rd 2008, C. P. Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh |
|
| Increasingly
the central government tries to pass the responsibility
for economic and social outcomes on to the state governments.
But does the current state of fiscal federalism justify
this? In this article the authors examine this question. |
|
| Boosting
a Rising Profit Rate |
| Sep
5th 2007, C.P Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
|
As
profits rise in developed and developing countries and
the share of wages in value added falls, the clamour
for reducing corporate tax rates only increases. Governments
are warned of the danger of being shunned by FDI or
of seeing their own capital migrate out in search of
relative tax havens. The ''race to the bottom'' that
this could set off, argue C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati
Ghosh, would only increase the inequalising tendencies
inherent in contemporary capitalism. |
|
| Budgetary
Policy in the Context of Inflation |
| Mar
30th 2007, Prabhat Patnaik |
| Negating
the impact of the current inflationary episode in India
on the poor requires both the ensuring of appropriate
supplies through imports, and a transfer of purchasing
power from the profit earners to the workers. Hence,
even if augmentation of supplies through resorting to
imports, as the government is doing now in the case
of foodgrains, succeeds in ending inflation, there is
still the need to put additional purchasing power in
the hands of the poor so that they regain their earlier
real income. The author argues that the basic problem
with the 2007-08 budget is that it is oblivious of these
social demands of a situation of profit inflation. |
|
| Is
the Centre Resource-stretched? |
| Dec
20th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
An
argument commonly heard is that the Central government
is stretched for resources despite its best efforts,
necessitating a greater role for the private sector
and the state governments. This paper argues that the
evidence does not validate that position. A more appropriate
tax policy relating to dividends and capital gains would
alone yield substantial revenues for the government.
Therefore, much more can and needs to be done to mobilise
resources for a greater role for the Centre in development.
|
|
|
An Aspect of Neo-liberalism |
| Dec
19th 2006, Prabhat Patnaik |
|
The
increase in the scale of social ''bribes'' which governments
have to offer capitalists in order to elicit investment
from them is an important feature of neo-liberalism.
Currently, the Indian nation state as well as its different
state governments are experiencing this. Because of
its impact on state finances, this has crucial implications
for the poor and the working masses. |
|
| Resources
for Equitable Growth |
| Dec
7th 2006, Economic Research Foundation |
|
The
declared aims of the Planning Commission's Approach
to the XIth Plan, all of which require substantially
increased public expenditure in physical infrastructure
and social sectors, simply cannot be met within the
confines of a restrictive fiscal policy stance. The
need to rethink policies of resource generation and
financial regulation is therefore urgent. In this context,
this paper, presented to the National Commission on
Enterprises in the Informal Sector, seeks to examine
the effects of the three perceptions underlying the
prevailing fiscal conservatism, questions their validity
and offers some alternatives for mobilising resources
for development. |
|
| Government
Health Expenditure in India: A Benchmark Study |
| Oct
30th 2006, Economic Research Foundation |
|
In
spite of large positive externalities associated with
health spending, in India it is until now largely privately
financed. The relatively low spending by the government,
a trend aggravated during the liberalisation era, implies
that health infrastructure and services will be underprovided
and will simultaneously deny access to the poor. This
study seeks to examine the actual pattern of government
spending on health and related areas (particularly,
family welfare and child development) by both central
and state governments.
|
|
|
Making the Poor Pay for Health |
| Sep
28th 2006, Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
inadequate level of public health spending, which has
been a constant and unfortunate feature of Indian development
in the past half century, has deteriorated further.
If India is to achieve even a small part of the potential
that our leaders are so proud of declaring, government
health expenditure has to be substantially increased
from the current abysmally low levels. |
|
|
Fallacies and Silences in the Approach to the Eleventh
Plan |
| Jul
26th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
In
this paper, the authors look at the specific proposals
made in the Planning Commission's Approach Paper to
the Eleventh Plan in the areas of control over and loss
of land, employment generation, agriculture and food
security, health and education. The paper questions
the underlying perception that creating a profitable
environment for private sector functioning will be enough
to fulfil most social goals, and no particular planning
strategy is required for this. |
|
| A
Background Note on the Approach Paper to the Eleventh
Five Year Plan |
| Jul
15th 2006, Prabhat Patnaik |
|
This
background note prepared on behalf of the Kerala State
Planning Board by Prabhat Patnaik, the Vice-Chairman
of the Board, discusses the various reservations of
the Board on the Approach Paper to the Eleventh Five
Year Plan released by the Planning Commission. The paper
also makes a number of initial proposals towards advancing
the regional consultations to be carried out by the
Planning Commission. |
|
| Approaching
the Eleventh Plan |
| Jul
11th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
Planning Commission has just released its Approach to
the Eleventh Five-Year Plan, which is entitled ''Towards
faster and more inclusive growth''. It is argued in
this paper that the macroeconomic presumptions of the
approach are faulty and unlikely to generate anything
resembling more inclusive growth. |
|
| Repeated
Sins of Commission |
| Jun
30th 2006, Jayati Ghosh |
|
One
of the lesser known large dams in the Narmada valley,
the Maheshwar Project, which is the first privatised
hydel project in India, shows all the signs of another
Enron-type fiasco in the making. But, apart from the
flaws on technical and financial grounds, this time
there is also added devastation produced by large scale
displacement and completely inadequate rehabilitation.
|
|
| Exorcising
Inflation |
| Jun
29th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar |
|
The
present problem of inflation is not one of excess demand
in all cases, but of manipulated shortages and cost-driven
inflation. Using imports to exorcise such inflation
would only serve to increase dependence on foreign finance
and also lead to a worsening of the agrarian crisis.
|
|
| Providing
Social Security to Unorganised Workers |
| Jun
26th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
lack of provision of basic social security for the vast
bulk of workers in India is one of the more depressing
features of Indian society. This is sought to be corrected
in the recent recommendations of the National Commission
for Enterprises in the Unorganised Sector. In this paper,
the authors consider the main proposals in the Report
and the associated legislation that will be required,
and argue that this must become a priority issue for
the government. |
|
| Three
Budgets of UPA: Where is the ''Human Face''? |
| Mar
22nd 2006, Shouvik
Chakraborty |
|
In
recent years, the media has created a lot of hype about
the UPA government's budgets, stating that these are
examples of ''reforms with human face''. This government
assumed power on May 22, 2004, with the support of the
Left parties, and was expected to bring about major
changes in the economic policies in favour of the poor.
The question which naturally arises is whether these
expectations are fulfilled or whether this government
too is framing policies favourable to the richer segments
of the population. This paper attempts to find an answer
to this question by analyzing the recent budget and
the two previous ones presented by Mr. P Chidambaram,
the Finance Minister. |
|
| Taxation
and the Budget |
| Mar
7th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
increase in central government tax revenues has been
described as a victory for the Laffer Curve in India.
This article examines the real reasons behind the recent
increase in the tax-GDP ratio, in particular, the change
in income distribution and the higher profitability
of companies. |
|
| The
Union Budget 2006-07 |
| Mar
2nd 2006, Jayati Ghosh |
|
The
Budget reveals not only a complex political balancing
act, but also a basic tension between sticking to a
neo-liberal economic strategy and meeting the economic
expectations of the mass of people, generated by the
government's own promises. |
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