Innovative Scamsters
Aug 20th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar
The recent emergence of a set of financial instruments, by the name of 'auction rate securities' or ARS, signifies another symbol of the malfunctioning global financial markets. The ARS system apparently follows a transparent and market efficient principle, but in reality results in a lowering of the notional value of securities held by investors in the absence of an active market.
Mid-Course Deviation
Aug 11th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar
The withdrawal of support for the UPA government by the Left parties on the Indo-US nuclear deal is justified since they had always opposed any attempt to forge a strategic relationship with the US, since there remains an inherent contradiction between US imperialism and the interests of developing countries like India. This problem was compounded by the fact that the UPA had in any case been deviating widely from the CMP agreed on by the UPA and the Left, especially in implementing the pro-poor programmes.
IT in India: A Turning Point?
Aug 9th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar
In spite of cautious optimism of some industry insiders given that the top 20 IT companies seem to be keeping up their spectacular rates of growth even when facing a dismal global economy, it is also undeniable that the increasing presence of foreign firms in the domestic sector means a shift in the net foreign exchange eared by the IT sector, leading perhaps even to a net outflow sometime in the foreseeable future
WTO: One More Failure
Aug 7th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar
The collapse of the talks of the Doha Round on 29th July, 2008 is no big deal since along the long route of the Doha round, periodic failure of negotiations is inevitable. This is not a disaster for advocates of trade liberalisation either because, in most countries, actual levels of protection are much lower than the bound levels WTO talks about. The point to note is that the so-called progress in trade liberalisation notwithstanding, the fundamental asymmetry of the world trading system remains.
The Coup D' Etat
Aug 4th 2008, Prabhat Patnaik
The Indo-US nuclear deal is not an isolated issue, but a part of a larger process of attempts at changing the character of the Indian State to a neo-liberal State integrated with US imperialism. Given the objective economic conditions leading to further shrinkage of the already miniscule political constituency in favour of "reforms", such a change in the character of the Indian State can be effected only through a coup d'etat as was witnessed on July 22.
The Human Costs of "World Class Cities"
Aug 2nd 2008, Jayati Ghosh
Unlike the much quoted differences in terms of old-new, integrated-marginalised, the contrast between rich and poor in the city of Delhi is actually more layered. Much of what is new in this city is also poor; and many of the poor are poor precisely because they have been drawn into the system, in ways that have been adverse for them
Public Health on The Cheap
Aug 1st 2008, Jayati Ghosh
Government policy in the social sectors in India clearly relies heavily on the unpaid or underpaid labour of women. These women often perform essential and demanding tasks that typically amount to full-time work, but are not given the status of regular government employees, and paid wages that fall below the minimum wages.
Two Instruments by Name Kalawati and Sasikala
Jul 28th 2008, R. Ramakumar
Rahul Gandhi's speech in the Loksabha during the trust motion did not just try to cover-up for the Enron fiasco which is responsible for the 'energy insecurity' in Maharashtra, it was also a poor effort to sidestep the central role of the Congress party (as well as the Sena-BJP combine) in triggering the series of farmer'' suicides in rural Maharashtra.
A Long View of Global GDP Growth
Jul 26th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
It is sometime useful to situate recent income growth in the longer term context, if only to remind ourselves of the structural processes involved. A close examination of long term patterns in relative positions show that the recent optimism about developing countries emerging as dominant players may be misplaced.
Diamonds and Blood
Jul 23rd 2008, Jayati Ghosh
The new spurt in demand for diamonds among the Indian elite only feeds into the fact that the world diamond trade is substantially based on the most gruesome violence and terror in Africa. This is more reinforced in recent times which is characterised by an even more cynical exploitation and reinforcement by multinational processing and trading companies, of vicious local conflicts in the sub-Saharan region.
The Nuclear Deal and the Priorities of the UPA Government
Jul 21st 2008, Jayati Ghosh
Instead of initiating a wide public debate and a detailed debate in central and state legislatures backed up by full information on the Indo-Us nuclear deal, a veil of secrecy has surrounded the negotiations, and the little information that has been available has come mostly from media sources that have behaved like pliant publicists for the government rather than independent observers.
The Oil Conundrum  
Jul 17th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar
The large and quick increases in oil prices have resulted in a sharp divergence between the domestic prices of oil products set by the government and the international prices at which imports are being made. If the divergence is bridged by raising the domestic price of oil products, there will be spiralling inflation but otherwise oil companies will soon become unviable. In countries like India that are dependent on imports of oil the real issue is the way in which the gap between domestic and international prices can be financed.
Capitalism's Democratic Deficit  
Jul 14th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar
The one-point agenda of clinching a nuclear deal with the US that the current Indian government is following serves the good purpose of diverting attention from the damage wrought by neoliberal economic policies. But the undemocratic political wrangling in an election year over the nuclear deal or communal politics distort the results of a much needed second referendum on the kind of economic policies that the previous NDA and the current UPA governments have followed.
Engineering Stagflation  
Jul 8th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar
By opting to hike petrol, diesel and LPG prices the government has transferred a significant share of the burden of increased international oil prices onto the domestic consumer. The government cannot reduce expenditure in an election year, so inflation will rise further. Unfortunately the government has chosen to ignore the most reasonable policy option of putting a curb on aggregate consumption and the use of rationing to allocate the targeted volume.
Interpreting the IPL  
Jun 23rd 2008, Jayati Ghosh
The shorter and more dramatic format of Twenty20 cricket was bound to be successful and provide a real challenge to the most traditional format of test cricket and also allowed cricket to compete for viewership with other games such as football. But the real novelty of the IPL lies in its open, blatant and even exuberant celebration of the commercial principle.
The Scourge of Private Tuitions  
Jun 12th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
In all Indian cities and towns and increasingly in rural areas, taking private tuition has now become common practice and at fees which are much higher than the regular school fees. A remarkable feature of our school education system is the way it has allowed and even encouraged the proliferation of this system. However, not only is the system deeply inequalising, it adversely affects the quality of the school education system itself.
Bread, Circuses and The Media  
Jun 6 th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
The obsession of the media with the middle classes in urban areas means that issues related to the working class and rural population often gets inadequate coverage. When serious issues like worsening labour conditions in a big growing city like Delhi goes unnoticed despite a major strike to protest the same, the role of the media in bringing to our attention the realities of India cannot but be questioned.
The Social Composition of Panchayats
May 19th 2008, Jayati Ghosh

The implementation of land reforms makes the West Bengal Panchayat system a much more egalitarian institution from both a class and a caste point of view, which the rest of India has not been able to replicate in general. This progress in West Bengal is noticeable even in the high participation of women in the Panchayat system.

The Crisis of Home-based Work
May 17th 2008, Jayati Ghosh

Recent data on employment shows that the share of women working in manufacturing in a subsidiary capacity has been increasing continuously since 1987-88. This shows the increase in "putting out” home-based or other work as part of a subcontracting system for export and domestic manufacturing, which are not included in official employment statistics. These are often on piece rate basis, usually very poorly paid and without any known non-wage benefits.

An Insider View from George Soros
Apr 29th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Among some of the voices which are calling for more attention to the nature of the current US financial crisis and for a more disinterested view of the need for state intervention, an influencial one is that of George Soros. His book "The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crash of 2008 and What it Means", being released in May, challenges the prevailing sanguine view on the intensity and implications of the crisis. This review is based on a reading of the digital edition available from various ebook sellers and his recent speeches.

Inflation: How Much and Why
Apr 17th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Inflation is emerging as India's primary economic problem now. The problem is that it looks set to rise very fast with retail prices moving much faster than the rest. The major concern still is that this is occurring in a period when global inflation is on the rise and policies of trade liberalisation and domestic deregulation have reduced the degree to which Indian prices are insulated from international prices.

Neoliberal Discomfort
Apr 15th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Globally, evidence has been growing that markets are just not working, precipitating crises that requires bringing the state back in. The high oil prices, financial crisis putting government regulation back in vogue and the crisis in global food markets show that markets cannot deliver without regulation. But there are also many areas where apparently successful outcomes of free market have turned out to be more of a problem that an economic gain, the foreign reserves issue being a case in point.

World Prices and The Transmission of Inflation
Apr 8th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
The recent global rise in inflation is partly demand-led, the result of several years of rapid economic growth and resultant demand. This however may be automatically controlled since growth and inflation will act as a constraint on each other. But more worrying is the fact that the possibility of stagflation, brought about by supply constraints, cannot be ruled out. This will be far more difficult to control.
Leaning on the State
Mar 19th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Interestingly, the very financial liberalisation that created the problems epitomised by the sub-prime crisis was predicated on a critique of the efficacy and correctness of intervention by the state. But recent developments show that bail-outs by the government of institutions that are weakened by wrong financial decisions are now taken for granted, thus legitimising interventionism. Can the "problem" that liberalisation was directed to "solve" now itself become the solution to the problems that liberalisation creates?

Digital Dumps: A Growing Threat for Developing Countries
Mar 17th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
The management of huge and growing quantities of electronic waste may emerge as one of the more important environmental problems of developing countries in the near future. The problems arise from the very significant health and environmental hazards associated with e-waste. As usual, this impact is worse in developing countries, where people often live in close proximity to dumps or landfills of untreated e-waste.
The New Enclosure Movement
Mar 15th 2008, Jayati Ghosh

A large part of the rural area around Delhi and other big cities has been converted from farmland into more pieces of attractive real estate in a portfolio of land holding. In the process, the attributes of the villages of these formerly completely rural areas are changing fast, not only in terms of ownership and cultivation patterns, but also in terms of the material means of support of the local population and their lifestyles. This also implies significant changes in the nature and options for employment for the local population.

The NREGA and its Critics
Mar 10th 2008, Jayati Ghosh

Contrary to the media criticism of NREGPA based on the recent CAG draft report on grounds of leakages, widespread corruption, inability to reach beneficiaries and create useful assets, the CAG Report has actually pointed out that the shortage of administrative and technical staff has prevented the programme from doing what it was supposed to do to the full extent The report also highlights the urgent need to ensure more administrative assistance for the programme at all levels.

Addressing Social Concern
Mar 10th 2008, Jayati Ghosh

The main issues in this year's economic strategy of the government, especially the intentions as signalled in this year's Budget proposals remain the same as that of 2004. These are employment, the agrarian crisis, nutrition and food security, education, health and social security. In each of these areas, the UPA government promised much. However, the delivery has not only been far below the promises, but in some cases even worse than the previous government.

Why can't we Feed our People?
Feb 5th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
Despite rapid economic growth, the nutritional status of our population appears to be worsening. This is likely to reflect shifts in wage incomes, relative prices and increasing costs of health and other essentials. The worst aspect is that this is happening in a context of already very poor standards of nutrition on average.
Violence against Women: Economic Reforms and Increasing Insecurities
Jan 29th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
There is a strong though complex relationship between violence against women and economic processes. This means that the evidence of increasing violence against women in India in the past decade must have something to do with the very rapid economic changes that have also been so apparent over this period. Adverse employment and economic conditions, especially in rural areas has increased the pressure on women. There is also a strong undercurrent of violence in the recent economic processes which often target women.
The Farce of "School Choice"
Jan 28th 2008, Jayati Ghosh
In India, apart from the factors of poverty, gender and other inequalities in basic infrastructure, a wide range of various forms of social discrimination operate to exclude children from school education and this is even more pronounced under the private schools. The proposed voucher system will further strengthen this discrimination by weakening the public school system.
Difficulty of Growing Tails Again
Jan 25th 2008, Prabir Purkayastha
There has been a recent parting of the ways between the Left parties, particularly the CPI(M) and various sections, which had earlier appeared to be a part of a larger coalition of forces against imperialist globalisation. Obviously, Nandigram and Singur are symptomatic of a much larger difference that existed and which has now surfaced. This current divergence reflects several issues; the role of development, the role of the state and the issue of imperialism.
The CPI(M) and the Building of Capitalism
Jan 17 th 2008, Prabhat Patnaik

This article argues that the reaction of certain sections of the media and the younger generation to certain statements made in the West Bengal CPI(M) political circles which was read as the CPI(M) having abandoned socialism is misplaced on three counts. Their arguments do not distinguish between socialist and people's democratic revolutions; between working within a system and working not to transcend the system; and between the Party and Party-led governments. All of this point towards the complexities of the Indian revolution and require an in depth understanding of the political situation.

India and the World Economy
Jan 12 th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Boosted by media reports and assessments by public and private financial institutions of India's high growth potential, capital inflows have seen a major surge in India resulting for one in huge foreign exchange reserves. But expectations that India is out to share in the spoils of global dominance may be misplaced since these fail to take account of the kind of liabilities that India is accumulating in order to finance its still incipient global expansion. Also, the more the investor and lender confidence results in capital flows in excess of India's current account financing needs, the greater is the possibility that such confidence can erode.

More Space for Speculation
Jan 8th 2008, C.P. Chandrasekhar

SEBI has recently decided to permit institutional investors to indulge in short selling, or the sale of shares that they do not own, and to restore the Securities Lending and Borrowing Scheme which will allow market players to borrow stocks to either sell or honour delivery commitments. At this moment when the boom driven by past speculation threatens to unravel, this move will simply add to misuses in the stock market and speculative activities. The argument that they increase liquidity in the market and correct stock price over-valuation is also misplaced in the current context.

The Left and its "Intellectual Detractors"
Dec 12th 2007, Prabhat Patnaik

The extreme hostility of the intellectual community to the Left Front Government on the Nandigram issue indicates that the explanation lies beyond the ordinary. It indicates something more serious, namely the process of destruction of politics that the phenomenon of globalization has unleashed. The attitude of the intellectuals arrayed against the organized Left at present shows complete withdrawal from the realm of political praxis to a realm of messianic moralism.

Too Little, Too Late
Dec 12th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Though the Finance Minister seems to have recently realized the folly of free and large capital inflows, the realization comes too late and offers too little in terms of solutions. He still seems to have an inadequate understanding of the problems that the capital surge has created and is still creating. Too late, because the Finance Minister looks unwilling to face the consequences of actions aimed at slowing, let alone arresting, capital inflows.

The Media and the Left in India
Dec 5 th 2007, Jayati Ghosh

The past few weeks have witnessed an extraordinary frenzy of media attacks on the Left and in particular, on the Left Front government in the state of West Bengal. The recent media coverage has included gross and even malicious distortion of facts apart from being completely one-sided. Simultaneously, false and extremely dangerous analogies have been made comparing this to the Gujarat genocide in 2002 whereas no valid comparison can actually be made. All this goes to show the control of the media by an international alliance that works clearly in the interests of imperialism.

The Changing World of Corporate Finance
Nov 30th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Huge foreign capital inflows have recently pushed up equity valuations to generally unsustainable levels, and created many adverse impacts in the economy and on the corporate sector, and has made it difficult for the RBI to manage money supply and use the monetary lever to pursue other objectives. However, these trends notwithstanding, internal resources and bank finance dominate corporate financing and not equity, which receives all the attention because of the surge in foreign institutional investment and the media's obsession with stock market buoyancy.

Too Much of a Good Thing
Nov 17th 2007, Jayati Ghosh

The massive surge in net capital inflows has put substantial pressure on the rupee. Faced with an unwanted surge of capital that is not being used for productive investment but is associated with a rising exchange rate, the need to put some limits and constraints on the capital inflows, in the form of direct marketing activity in lieu of a capital gains tax, cannot be denied.

Disquisitions of The PM
Nov 13th 2007, Prabhat Patnaik.

The recent disquisitions of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, which in effect blame the electorate for giving a "fractured mandate", or in other words denying a clear majority to the Congress Party, transgress the natural boundaries of a party's confidence in its party programme or the degree of impatience with the electorate on the part of a political party when it does not get the electorate's support..

Can the PM Cope with Democracy
Nov 13th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

The PM periodically expresses his resentment over not being able to go through with some of his most favoured initiatives. Two areas in which this resentment is particularly clear are economic policy and India's international relations, especially its relations with the United States. It seems he has begun to consider much that independent India can be proud of and is enshrined in her Constitution as a problem, an obstacle in the way of progress as he sees it.

On Nandigram
Nov 12th 2007, Jayati Ghosh

The current events in Nandigram in West Bengal show how the local conflict, which continues to lead to tragic loss of life, is still being portrayed as a struggle against land acquisition, when that particular victory was won several months ago and now the events portray nothing but political manipulation.

The Industrial Upturn
Nov 5th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

The disconnect between India's booming financial sector and its real economy has only worsened in the recent times. It is the real economy we need to look at to assess the real performance of the economy. In the context of the current industrial boom, it becomes important to acknowledge the possibility of a downturn and find stable sources of growth.

Unravelling India's Growth Transition
Nov 2nd 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

India's GDP growth has experienced a sudden boost in the middle of 2003. One specific component of the services sector, and interestingly, manufacturing growth seems to have contributed significantly to this transition in growth pattern. But the fact that the domestic market, which played a major role in this scenario, was driven in the final analysis by a financial boom that eased credit availability, reduced interest rates and encouraged debt-financed consumption and investment, makes the growth process fragile and a cause for concern for future policymaking.

Water, Water Everywhere
Oct 10th 2007, Jayati Ghosh

The rains which inundated Kolkata in the last week of September brought great inconvenience, distress and even acute misfortune to many residents. A major lacunae in urban planning across India in the form of a relative neglect of basic issues like sewage and sanitation, causes such crises to create a wide ranging impact including the disruption of power supply and lack of clean drinking water, and the spread of water-borne diseases.

The Novartis Case
Oct 8th 2007, Jayati Ghosh

The Madras High Court's recent rejection of Novartis' attempt to patent the leukaemia treatment drug, sold as Glivec in India, comes as an unexpected and much welcome break and a precedent in the fight for cheaper lifesaving drugs. The crucial question of whether this drug is actually a new invention or simply a minor modification of an older, off-patent drug, was one which is often used by multinational pharmaceutical companies as a method of prolonging monopoly control over products that would otherwise move off the patent list.

Incorporation and Exclusion by the Indian State
Oct 3rd 2007, Jayati Ghosh

The development project is nowhere near completion in India and a major reason is that a basic feature of the process of economic development thus far has been exclusion in various forms. Exploring the reasons why and how requires looking into the relationship between the state and economic development and the class character of the state which has undergone major changes over this period and assumed much more complex and multidimensional forms.

It's Raining Crores for the Cricketers
Oct 1st 2007, Jayati Ghosh

The euphoria shown by the BCCI and several states, expressed in terms of startling cash rewards for the players after India won the 20Twenty world Cup, reiterates the point that sport is not really sport any more, it is primarily spectator entertainment, and therefore media, and therefore big business. This also channels away funds from so called cash strapped states which cannot finance development infrastructure including sports infrastructure, and results in inequities not only on a gender basis but also between sports.

Social Security Benefits and the New Pension Scheme
Sep 29th 2007, Ratan Khasnabis

The New Pension Scheme (NPS) is radically different from the existing scheme that ensures a defined benefit from the employee without asking for a collateral contribution. Therefore social security in the form of defined benefit is a right which is being denied by the very concept of NPS. Secondly, the article argues that there are problems with the expected return of an equity-linked financial instrument which the NPS attempts to be as there is no guarantee that the returns from equities would always be better than the guaranteed returns.

Can the US Fed help Asian Markets?
Sep 5th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Institutions reeling under the knock-on effects of the developments in the US, especially its subprime housing market with rising defaults and foreclosures, are selling out in Asian markets to find the money to rebalance their capital structures or meet their commitments. The crisis in the US is therefore having wide impact on other economies in spite of good fundamentals. However, addressing it will be difficult as it needs major intervention not only from the US Fed but the President and the Congress.

A Reticent RBI Succumbs
Aug 11th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

In spite of the growing importance of the financial sector, the RBI is often short on new initiatives and errs on the side of stability rather than change. Given the excessive inflow of credit into the system, the RBI has merely signaled that credit must be restrained basically in order to curb inflation, but has done very little in pursuit of that objective. However, it is important to note that the RBI's ability to curb money supply is also getting severely restricted in the current financial regime characterized by high foreign capital inflows.

Murdoch's Last Laffer
Jul 30th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

The offer by Rupert Murdoch to buy up Dow Jones, which owns the Wall Street Journal shows that the Journal is now haunted by its own promotion of changes in American capitalism that have paved the way for the domination of merger and acquisitions wave. This has led to conversion of media empires into typical corporations that are as much the targets of take-over and seekers of financial gain as any other. This corporate-led, profit-driven dynamics underlying this trend, promoted vigorously by the media itself, has had serious adverse implications for questions of integrity especially of the financial media, which the Wall Street Journal projects itself as promoters of.

Banking on Home Builders
Jul 14th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

Given active encouragement to chase profits in hitherto restricted markets with new instruments, Indian banks are choosing to change their portfolios rather sharply. The trend is towards a diversification of bank credit away from the commodity producing sectors and even trade which is almost completely counterbalanced by loans to individuals and professionals by means of personal loans and professional services, with a large concentration in housing loans. This has increased the extent of risk in the financial system.

Global Finance Today: Deja vu?
Jun 15th 2007, C.P. Chandrasekhar

This article describes and analyses a set of new characteristics in the nature of financial integration of developing countries with their developed counterparts over the last four years. It argues that this represents a transformation where the risks associated with the current surge in capital flows are far greater than World Bank predictions and that a turn in the investment cycle, with far-reaching implications, is real and imminent.

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