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The
Impact of Macroeconomic Change on Employment in the Retail
Sector in India: Policy Implications for Growth, Sectoral
Change and Employment |
May
15th 2008,
Jayati
Ghosh, Amitayu Sengupta &
Anamitra Roychoudhury |
|
|
This
study is concerned with the employment situation in
India’s retail sector. High economic growth in India
has not produced satisfactory outcomes of job growth,
both in terms of quantity and quality. Concern has arisen
that many of the working poor engaged in small-scale
retailing and street vending are crowded by entries
of large-scale domestic as well as foreign retailers.
Share of workers’ income in manufacturing has also seen
a decline, despite labour productivity growth, during
the last decade. This paper argues that economic policy
in India needs to be made more inclusive and equitable.
The only sure way of doing so would be making it more
pro-job and pro-poor, through examining employment implications
of macro policies that accompany economic liberalization. |
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| Farmers'
Suicides in India: Magnitudes, Trends and Spatial Patterns |
| Mar
3rd 2008,
K.
Nagaraj |
|
|
Given
the very large number of suicides by farmers in various
parts of India over the last decade, there is a need
to probe the issue by utilizing a data source which
would provide a comprehensive, nation-wide picture.
This paper is a modest attempt to fill that gap. Its
basic objective is to put together, and carry out a
preliminary analysis on, the secondary data that are
available on farmers’ suicides in the country. The paper
studies, first, the magnitude and trends in farmers’
suicides in India over 1997-2006; and second, the regional
patterns, if any, in the incidence and trends in these
suicides. |
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| Private
Equity: A New Role for Finance? |
| May
22nd 2007,
C.
P. Chandrasekhar |
|
|
Given
that a substantial proportion of companies in Asian
developing countries are either unlisted or have a small
proportion of free-floating shares, the surge in investments
by private equity firms suggests that foreign acquisitions
could increase in the region sharply. With foreign investors
controlling a rising share of total assets, the ability
of domestic forces and the domestic State to influence
the pattern and pace of growth of domestic economic
activity would be substantially eroded. |
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| Indian
Economy in the Era of Contemporary Globalisation: Some
Core Elements of the Balance Sheet |
| May
17th 2007,
Praveen
Jha & Mario Negre |
|
|
In
recent years, the ‘official’ India has been patting
itself on account of accelerated economic growth rates
and the presumed progress in poverty reduction. However,
as this paper argues, the recent economic growth has
been extremely lopsided; more than ever before. Further,
large sections of the country’s population continue
to suffer, very acutely, with reference to a whole range
of development deficits. This paper is an attempt to
sketch a snapshot of India’s economic growth performance,
along with some of the major development deficits it
is facing. |
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| The
Progress of "Reform" and the Retrogression of
Agriculture |
| Apr
25th 2007,
C.
P. Chandrasekhar |
|
|
The
consequence of recent structural shifts is that the
Indian economy can record the observed creditable rates
of non-inflationary growth of aggregate GDP even when
its agricultural sector languishes. It appears that
a feature of the growth process in a more open and liberalised
environment is that the peasantry has a much smaller
a role in sustaining economic growth and can thus be
partially excluded from development. What is disconcerting
is that the self-correcting mechanism that existed in
the earlier period to restore a semblance of balance
between agricultural and non-agricultural growth are
no more operative. |
|
| A
Model of Growth of the Contemporary Indian Economy
|
| Apr
10th 2007,
Prabhat Patnaik |
|
|
This
paper provides a simple model of the current pattern
of India’s economic growth process, to reckon with the
fact that even an accelerating growth rate may leave
the unemployment problem completely unresolved, or even
accentuated, as labour productivity rises at a faster
rate than investment. An obvious conclusion that emerges
is that the widely-held perception that higher and higher
growth rates would eventually eradicate unemployment
in the country, is untenable. |
|
| Recent
Employment Trends in India and China: An Unfortunate Convergence? |
| Apr
5th 2007, C.
P. Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh |
|
|
This
paper argues that both China and India, despite the
similarity of the current international hype about their
future economic prospects and also despite their obvious
differences, face rather similar economic problems at
present with respect to the labour market. In both countries,
the strategy of development is delivering relatively
high growth without commensurate increases in employment,
especially in the organised sector; and the bulk of
new employment is in lower productivity activities under
uncertain and often oppressive conditions. It is argued
that this paradox may be a common result of the similar
strategy of economic expansion currently being followed
in both countries. |
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|
Some
Aspects of the Well-Being of India's Agricultural Labour
in the Context of Contemporary Agrarian Crisis |
| Feb
22nd 2007, Praveen Jha |
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|
The
tremendous economic pressure that the Indian countryside
has come under in the recent years is bound to impact
the well-being of the masses in the rural economy. This
paper is an attempt to examine the key elements of the
contemporary agrarian crisis and its possible consequences
for agricultural labourers. It appears that their economic
conditions, in any case quite fragile and vulnerable
even in 'better' times, have taken quite a battering
in the recent years. |
|
|
Poverty
and Neo-liberalism in India |
| Jan
6th 2007, Utsa Patnaik |
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|
This
paper explores why the official poverty estimates show
low levels as well as decline in poverty in India over
the 1990s, whereas all other economic and social indicators
suggest that absolute poverty is high. The former do
not capture the true picture because the official method
involves the 'fallacy of equivocation'. It is also argued
that when actual rural poverty is as high as nearly
four-fifths of the population and poverty depth is increasing
with a higher proportion of people being pushed down
into lower nutritional status, there is an urgent need
to revert to a demand-driven universal public distribution
system. |
|
|
Government
Health Expenditure in India: A Benchmark Study |
| Oct
30th 2006, Economic Research Foundation |
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|
In
spite of large positive externalities associated with
health spending, in India it is until now largely privately
financed. The relatively low spending by the government,
a trend aggravated during the liberalisation era, implies
that health infrastructure and services will be underprovided
and will simultaneously deny access to the poor. This
study seeks to examine the actual pattern of government
spending on health and related areas (particularly,
family welfare and child development) by both central
and state governments. |
|
|
Social Inequality, Labour Market Dynamics
and the Need for Expanding Reservation - Some Issues for
Consideration |
| Sep
5th 2006, Mritiunjoy Mohanty |
|
This paper
brings two new elements to the debate around expanding
reservation in centres of excellence in higher education.
First, it establishes that Upper Caste Hindus are significantly
better off in education, employment and relative incomes
than ST, SC or OBC populations. Second, it links this
privileged positioning of Upper Castes Hindus with changing
labour market dynamics in the 1990s and shows how Upper
Caste Hindus dominate the best jobs in the Urban economy.
Since access to high quality tertiary education then
becomes key to accessing the most dynamic segment of
a decelerating labour market, the paper therefore argues
that expanding reservations to OBCs in public institutions
of higher learning is imperative. |
|
|
The Need to Protect Petty Production |
| Jul
17th 2006, Prabhat Patnaik |
|
This paper
argues that in a situation where unemployment is generated
through the disappearance of small-scale production,
the ''efficiency'' argument in favour of their closure
does not stand, even if small-scale units are more inefficient
at the micro-level. The destruction of petty production
through exposure to liberal trade, in the name of efficiency,
is therefore an undesirable course of action. |
|
|
IT- Driven Offshoring: The Exaggerated
"Development Opportunity" |
| Jan
27th 2006, C.P. Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh. |
|
This paper
considers the recent boom in IT-driven offshoring in
India and examines the potential for this to become
a major source of economic growth in the future. It
is argued that the optimism about the benefits that
the new trend can bring to India and other similarly
placed countries may be misplaced given the relatively
small share of this sector in total output and employment,
as well as the difficulties of sustaining growth in
the area. |
|
|
The Myth of
a Global Savings Glut |
| Sep
30th, 2005, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
There
is substantial agreement that international imbalances
in growth and balance of payments performance are a
source of global fragility. But disagreements persist
on the source of those imbalances. The authors discuss
an effort to manufacture a global savings glut to cover
up US responsibility. |
|
|
Developing
Countries and the Dollar |
| Sep
30th, 2005, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh |
|
In
this article, the authors consider the nature of developing
country capital flows and analyse why investing in US
dollar assets has become such a favoured use for financial
resources that could be used instead to increase economic
growth in the developing world. |
|
|
The Economics of the New Phase of Imperialism |
| Aug
26th 2004, Prabhat Patnaik |
|
This paper
argues that even though "accumulation through encroachment"
in the inclusive sense of the term is always an integral
part of the process of capital accumulation, so that
the pure reign of "accumulation through expansion"
is rare and at best transitory, a crucial feature of
contemporary imperialism is a vast increase in the relative
importance of "accumulation through encroachment". |
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|
Statistical
Briefs |
|
| NSS
Employment Surveys: Problems with Comparisons over Time |
| Oct
6th 2004, Amit Thorat |
|
The
National Sample Survey organisation is the nation's
premier data collection and distribution agency. The
agency has since independence,
diligently fulfilled the need
for critical data for both academicians and policy makers
alike. However, given the nature of evolution of the
survey methodology over the years, caution needs to
be exercised while conducting temporal comparisons of
employment figures. |
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|
Budget 2004-05 : Farmers are the new
untouchables |
| Jul
12th 2004, Devinder Sharma |
|
The NDA's
defeat in the recently held Lok Sabha elections owes
a lot to the alliance's failing to address the problems
of the agricultural sector, still a parking lot for
the poor. It appears that the ruling Congress-led alliance
has not learnt its lessons from the NDA's defeat as
the Union Budget 2004-05 completely ignores the farming
community's demands. |
|
|
Food
security concerns in India as Buffer
Stocks Plummet |
|
Dec 29th 2003, Sabyasachi
Mitra. |
|
Unless
irrigation facilities are spread to all states in India
agricultural output in the country will remain hostage
to the whims of the monsoon, and food security of the
country can never be ensured. |
|
|
On the Economics
of "Open Economy" De-Industrialization |
|
Nov 25th 2003,
Prabhat Patnaik. |
| This
is the text of the V.V.Giri Memorial Lecture to be delivered
by Prof. Prabhat Patnaik at the Annual Conference of
the Indian Society of Labour Economics in Kolkata in
December 2003. In this lecture Professor Patnaik discusses
"open economy de-industrialization" which
in his belief has not been fully understood. |
|
|
Address
at the Convocation of Kalyani University |
| Nov
10th
2003, Prabhat
Patnaik |
|
This lecture was
delivered at the convocation of Kalyani University in
the capacity of the chief guest at the ceremony. |
|
|
Issues
in School Education in Contemporary Kerala
|
| Jun
7th 2003,
C.P. Chandrasekhar, V. K. Ramachandran
& R. Ramakumar |
|
This paper deals with
major issues in school education in Kerala in the 1990s,
in particular, with issues of state investment in schooling,
the retention of students in the school system, and
movements to bring about change in the quality of school
education in the 1990s and to the present day. |
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